Psychology Atlas

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Decision-Making and Judgment Biases

Groups the phenomena of the psychology atlas whose central finding concerns a systematic distortion in how a person judges evidence, estimates a probability or weighs a choice. Belongs here: the Anchoring Effect, the Availability Heuristic, Confirmation Bias, the Dunning-Kruger Effect, Inattentional Blindness, the Mere Exposure Effect, the Placebo Effect and the Sunk Cost Fallacy, each a documented distortion of an individual's own judgment or expectation. A phenomenon whose distortion is chiefly about how a person perceives or explains another person, rather than about the person's own private judgment, is filed under social biases and group effects instead.

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Originating Work
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (Tversky and Kahneman, Science, 1974) 1
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1. Wikipedia: Heuristics in Judgment and Decision-Making
Wikimedia FoundationHeuristics in judgment and decision-making, Tversky and Kahneman section, decision-making cluster
Quote, Heuristics in judgment and decision-making, Tversky and Kahneman section, decision-making cluster
This research, called the heuristics-and-biases program, challenged the idea that human beings are rational actors and first gained worldwide attention in 1974 with the Science paper "Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases".
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