Errors in predicting one's own future feelings, preferences and growth, including the impact bias, the hot-cold empathy gap and the end-of-history illusion. A phenomenon belongs here when its cited article describes misjudging how one will think or feel. Every member sits in the Psychology Atlas as its own page with a definition, cited sources and links to related effects, so the group works as a reading path through Affective Forecasting and Self-Prediction Errors rather than as a claim that the members share one cause. Where scholars disagree about how an effect should be classified, the member page says so.
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Affective Forecasting and Self-Prediction Errors
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Wikipedia: Hot-Cold Empathy Gap
Wikimedia FoundationHas Member: Hot-Cold Empathy Gap, LeadQuote, Has Member: Hot-Cold Empathy Gap, Lead
A hot-cold empathy gap is a cognitive bias in which people underestimate the influences of visceral drives and emotions on their own attitudes, preferences, and behaviors.
Wikipedia: Impact Bias
Wikimedia FoundationHas Member: Impact Bias, LeadQuote, Has Member: Impact Bias, Lead
In the psychology of affective forecasting, the impact bias, a form of which is the durability bias, is the tendency for people to overestimate the length or the intensity of future emotional states.
Wikipedia: End-of-History Illusion
WikipediaHas Member: End-of-History Illusion, LeadQuote, Has Member: End-of-History Illusion, Lead
The end-of-history illusion is a psychological illusion in which individuals of all ages believe that they have experienced significant personal growth and changes in tastes up to the present moment, but will not substantially grow or mature in the future.
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