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Psychological Phenomena

Regression Fallacy

Probability and Statistical Reasoning Biases

The regression fallacy, also called the regressive fallacy, is an informal fallacy that assumes something has returned to normal because of corrective action taken while it was abnormal, when in fact the change may simply reflect natural fluctuation around the normal level. It is frequently treated as a specific form of the broader post hoc fallacy, mistaking a coincidence in timing for a cause.

Facts
Core Claim
It assumes that something has returned to normal because of corrective actions taken while it was abnormal. 1
First Described Year
1885 2
Classification
Type of Phenomenon
Cognitive Phenomenon 1
Connections

In Branch

Source Regression fallacy (Wikipedia)
Sources
1. Regression fallacy (Wikipedia)
  • Lead paragraph
    It assumes that something has returned to normal because of corrective actions taken while it was abnormal.
  • lead section, phenomenon-kind classification
    The regression (or regressive) fallacy is an informal fallacy.
  • In Branch: Cognitive Psychology, Categories
    Wikipedia article 'Regression fallacy' is filed under Category:Cognitive biases.
View the Source
2. Wikipedia: Regression fallacy
en.wikipedia.org: Regression fallacy
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