Confirmation And Belief Biases

A decision bias in how a person seeks, interprets or remembers evidence relative to a belief they already hold, most often documenting a tendency to favor evidence that confirms an existing belief or to judge a past event as having been more predictable than it actually was. This group gathers the confirmation and belief-related phenomena recorded for this atlas, drawn from the standard judgment-and-decision-making literature on motivated reasoning and hindsight distortion in how evidence and past events are evaluated.