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Psychological Phenomena

Denominator Neglect

Probability and Statistical Reasoning Biases

Denominator neglect, also called denominator neglect bias or the ratio bias, is a cognitive bias in which a person focuses on the numerator of a ratio while neglecting its denominator, producing systematic errors in decision-making and probability judgment. It is especially common when people are asked to assess risks, probabilities or benefits that are framed as proportions.

Facts
Core Claim
People give disproportionate weight to the number of outcomes of interest (the numerator) while failing to adequately consider the total number of possible outcomes (the denominator). 1
Classification
Type of Phenomenon
Cognitive Phenomenon 1
Connections

In Branch

Source Denominator neglect (Wikipedia)
Sources
1. Denominator neglect (Wikipedia)
  • Overview
    Denominator neglect occurs when individuals give disproportionate weight to the number of outcomes of interest (the numerator) while failing to adequately consider the total number of possible outcomes (the denominator).
  • lead section, phenomenon-kind classification
    Denominator neglect, also called denominator neglect bias or the ratio bias, is a cognitive bias in which a person focuses on the numerator of a ratio while neglecting its denominator, producing systematic errors in decision-making and probability judgment.
  • In Branch: Cognitive Psychology, Categories
    Wikipedia article 'Denominator neglect' is filed under Category:Cognitive biases.
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