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Psychological Phenomena

P-Hacking

Probability and Statistical Reasoning Biases

P-hacking, also known as data dredging or data snooping, is the misuse of data analysis to find patterns that can be presented as statistically significant, which dramatically increases and understates the true risk of a false positive. It is typically done by running many statistical tests on a data set and reporting only the ones that come back significant, often by exhaustively searching combinations of variables or subgroups for an apparent correlation or difference; because conventional significance testing accepts some baseline risk of a mistaken conclusion, testing enough hypotheses makes it virtually certain that some will be reported significant purely by chance, even though the result is misleading. The term was coined in a 2014 paper by the researchers behind the blog Data Colada, who have focused on uncovering exactly this problem within social science research, including psychology's own replication crisis; the practice is an example of the broader multiple comparisons problem, and when misused it is a questionable research practice that can undermine scientific integrity.

Facts
Core Claim
The misuse of data analysis to find patterns that can be presented as statistically significant, understating the risk of false positives. 1
First Described Year
2014 1
Classification
Type of Phenomenon
Cognitive Phenomenon 1
Connections

In Branch

Source Data dredging, Wikipedia
Sources
1. Data dredging, Wikipedia
  • Lead section, first sentence
    is the misuse of data analysis to find patterns in data that can be presented as statistically significant, thus dramatically increasing and understating the risk of false positives.
  • Lead section, term origin
    The term p-hacking (in reference to p-values) was coined in a 2014 paper by the three researchers behind the blog Data Colada
  • lead section, phenomenon-kind classification
    Data dredging, also known as data snooping or p-hacking, is the misuse of data analysis to find patterns in data that can be presented as statistically significant, thus dramatically increasing and understating the risk of false positives.
  • In Branch: Cognitive Psychology, Categories
    Wikipedia article 'Data dredging' is filed under Category:Cognitive biases.
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