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Psychological Phenomena

Sunk Cost Fallacy

Decision-Making and Judgment Biases

In economics and business decision-making, a sunk cost, also called a retrospective cost, is a cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered, distinct from a prospective cost, a future cost that can still be avoided by present action. Economists argue that a sunk cost is no longer relevant to rational decision-making about the future, since the money is already spent and carries no bearing on what happens next, yet people in everyday life often let previous expenditures, such as money already spent repairing a car or a house, continue to shape their future decisions about those same properties anyway. This psychological tendency to let an unrecoverable past cost keep pulling further investment and effort toward it, rather than weighing only the costs and benefits still to come, is the sunk cost fallacy.

Facts
Core Claim
People let resources they have already spent and cannot get back influence decisions that should only be based on future costs and benefits. 1
First Described Year
1985 1
Classification
Type of Phenomenon
Cognitive Phenomenon 1
Connections

In Branch

Sources
1. Wikipedia: Sunk Cost
Wikimedia Foundation
  • Sunk cost fallacy section
    This is the sunk cost fallacy, and such behavior may be described as "throwing good money after bad".
  • Overoptimistic probability bias section
    In 1968, Knox and Inkster approached 141 horse bettors: 72 of the people had just finished placing a $2.00 bet within the past 30 seconds, and 69 people were about to place a $2.00 bet in the next 30 seconds.
  • lead section, phenomenon-kind classification
    Even though economists argue that sunk costs are no longer relevant to future rational decision-making, people in everyday life often take previous expenditures in situations, such as repairing a car or house, into their future decisions regarding those properties.
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